ビットコインが突然77,500ドルまで急騰した理由は何ですか？?

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After a brief dip below $75,000 early in the week, Bitcoin price has once again moved close to its monthly high.

Over the past 24 hours, the bellwether has rallied over 2% to stabilise around $77,500 on hopes that the US-Iran war situation may see a diplomatic breakthrough.

No immediate escalation in the Middle East

The latest relief rally was largely sparked by United States President Donald Trump extending the temporary ceasefire indefinitely as diplomatic efforts continue behind the scenes.

As per reports, this strategic pause is expected to give Tehran enough time to finalize a "unified proposal" essential for formal peace talks in Islamabad.

Even though tensions still remain, primarily around the Strait of Hormuz, where both the US Navy and the IRGC have maintained aggressive naval blockades, the lack of fresh kinetic strikes has reassured investors.

The absence of an imminent ground-level war has offered much-needed breathing room to the crypto markets.

Institutional buying

Bitcoin’s latest relief rally has also been supported by aggressive buying from the prominent institutional player and treasury firm MicroStrategy.

On April 21, MicroStrategy revealed it purchased 34,164 BTC for approximately $2.54 billion, further cementing its status as the world’s largest publicly traded Bitcoin holder with a total treasury exceeding 800,000 tokens.

Against this backdrop, spot Bitcoin ETF products in the US have also seen back-to-back inflows, which goes to show that institutional demand remains strong despite the macro turbulence.

According to SoSoValue data, since April 14, there has been no net outflow from the ETFs, indicating that long-term optimism remains strong among Wall Street fund managers.

Institutional backing is widely viewed as a sign of long-term maturity, providing a strong buy signal for the rest of the market to follow suit.

Dollar cooling off

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has begun to retreat from its recent peaks, providing a favorable tailwind for risk assets.

As the dollar’s safe-haven rally loses steam following the ceasefire announcement, global liquidity is rotating back into hard assets like Bitcoin.

This inverse correlation is proving pivotal, as a weakening dollar historically paves the way for crypto-market expansions, especially when domestic fiscal concerns regarding US debt interest start to outweigh military spending.

Bitcoin’s structural strength

Even amidst the recent geopolitical shocks and supply chain fears, the Bitcoin price has managed to stay above $70,000, which is now established as a formidable psychological support area.

Market analysts contend that as long as this floor remains intact, a larger move toward new local highs may be firmly in play.

Subsequently, after its recent dip, Bitcoin quickly managed to reclaim the ground above $75,000, which has added another layer of technical validation for the current uptrend.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/invezz:9a748eb7a094b:0-why-did-bitcoin-suddenly-jump-to-77-500/