主なポイント：スポットBTC ETFが供給を吸収；CFTCによる監督；BTC価格は74,000ドル～75,000ドル
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Spot Bitcoin ETFs are absorbing supply, offsetting selling pressure and shaping near-term BTCUSD price moves ahead of the FOMC meeting and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks.
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Regulatory oversight of Bitcoin shifted from the SEC’s securities rules to the CFTC’s market‑conduct jurisdiction, changing the primary federal regulator and enforcement approach for BTCUSD trading.
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US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $199.4M inflows Monday, marking seven straight days and about $1.2B in a week; AUM rose to $96.7B while daily ETF trading volume fell to $2.6B; YTD net flows remain negative.
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BTCUSD traded sideways in a range; futures positioning rose. Analysts said gains looked driven by speculative positioning, and higher futures exposure could boost volatility if macro risks worsen.
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Ahead of the FOMC, Bitcoin showed negative funding and cautious derivatives positioning, fewer long-leverage builds. Traders watch post-Fed flows, the Dot Plot and Powell remarks for BTCUSD moves.
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BTCUSD faces resistance near $75,000, matching the lower on-chain Realized Price band; broader Realized Price is about $84,700, placing key realized-cost bands at $75k–$84.7k.
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Bitcoin traded above $74,000 as sentiment improved and institutional flows increased; large investors continued to add to supply, with institutional demand cited as a key driver of the move.
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Bitcoin’s correlation with gold dropped to its lowest level since November 2022 while inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs increased and gold funds experienced outflows, according to the report.
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In early 2026 Bitcoin’s five-year CAGR fell below gold’s for the second time, staying under gold’s for three months amid a bear market; BTC was trading near $74,015.
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Over 24 hours Bhutan moved about $72M in Bitcoin, including a 595.848 BTC (~$44.4M) transfer to a new wallet; earlier March outflows included 205.53 BTC and 150 BTC.
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source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:12db327a1d754:0-key-facts-spot-btc-etfs-absorb-supply-cftc-oversight-btc-74-75k/
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